Climate Risk Intelligence

Know Your
Physical Climate
Risk Score

Hyper-local physical risk data at 25-metre resolution — covering flood, storm, hail, wildfire, earthquake and 8 more hazards — for any asset, anywhere across 182 countries.

UrClimate Score Report
Live API
Canary Wharf, London, UK 51.5054° N, 0.0235° W  ·  25m grid cell
Flood Risk
Low
Storm Wind
Moderate
Heat Stress
High
Sea Level Rise
Very High

25m × 25m resolution — street-level precision for every query

SSP Scenarios SSP2 · SSP5
182
Countries covered
globally
25m
Spatial resolution
per grid cell
200TB
Climate model
data processed
12+
Physical hazard
categories scored

From Raw Climate Data
to Actionable Risk Scores

We combine global climate models, regional downscaling with WRF, and proprietary hazard algorithms to deliver location-specific scores via a simple REST API.

Global Climate Model Ingestion

We process IPCC, CMIP6, ERA5, and CORDEX datasets at their native resolution — ingesting over 200TB of raw climate model output across SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios.

WRF Downscaling to 25m

Using 6,200 CPU cores, we run WRF (Weather Research & Forecasting) to dynamically downscale from 10km global resolution to 1km — then apply proprietary hazard disaggregation to reach 25-metre precision.

Scored & Delivered via REST API

Any coordinate pair, postcode, or portfolio of assets is scored in real time. Results arrive as standardised JSON with composite scores, hazard breakdowns, and future projections under each scenario.

12 Physical Hazards,
One Unified Score

Each hazard layer is independently calibrated against observed damage data and IPCC AR6 projections. All layers feed into a single composite UrClimate Score.

🌊
Flood & Flash Flood
Coastal, riverine, and pluvial flood exposure under current and future climates.
🌀
Storm Wind
Extreme wind gust return periods based on WRF downscaled outputs.
🌡️
Heat Stress
Wet-bulb globe temperature projections and urban heat island intensification.
🧊
Frost & Snow Load
Seasonal frost depth, ice day frequency, and extreme snow accumulation.
⛈️
Hail
Convective hail frequency, kinetic energy, and maximum diameter estimates.
🔥
Wildfire
Fire weather index trends and urban-wildland interface exposure scores.
🏔️
Earthquake
Peak ground acceleration using ESHM20 and GEM fault model datasets.
🌧️
Drought & Water Stress
SPEI-based drought indices and long-run water availability projections.
⛰️
Landslide
Slope instability risk layers combined with precipitation intensity trends.
🌊
Sea Level Rise
Asset-level coastal inundation modelling under IPCC AR6 SLR scenarios.
Lightning
Convective activity density, flash rate, and ground-strike frequency.
💧
Subsidence
Ground movement risk from clay shrink-swell, groundwater withdrawal, and permafrost thaw.

Built for the
Precision Economy

Most climate risk products rely on 10–25km resolution grids or postcode proxies. We don't.

01

Street-Level Resolution

At 25 metres, two buildings on opposite sides of a flood berm receive genuinely different scores. This matters for underwriting, loan-level modelling, and asset due diligence where coarse proxies obscure real exposure.

02

Multi-Scenario Futures

Every score is available across SSP1-2.6 (low emissions), SSP2-4.5 (central) and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions) for 2030, 2050, and 2080 — giving analysts the scenario spread needed for TCFD, IFRS S2, and EU Taxonomy disclosures.

03

API-First, Portfolio-Scale

A single API call can return scores for millions of coordinates in batch mode. Our clients run nightly portfolio refreshes processing hundreds of thousands of assets without custom data pipelines.

04

Independent Science, Verified Data

Backed by ITU (Istanbul Technical University) academics and international climate scientists. Our hazard layers are validated against ESHM20, GEM, EFEHR, ECMWF, Copernicus, and 46+ years of ERA5 reanalysis.

In Production with Leading
Insurers Since 2021

UrClimate Score is actively used in underwriting, actuarial modelling, and risk engineering workflows at major insurance groups across Turkey and beyond.

Full Turkey coverage. Used daily by underwriters, actuaries, and risk engineers for location-based 1–100 scoring, regional heatmaps, and temporal trend reports.

Risk Engineers

Interactive heatmaps at country, province, and district level. Temporal change reports showing how hazard exposure has shifted over time for any region.

Underwriters

Coordinate-level 1–100 composite score per hazard, delivered via API in real time. Instant integration into pricing models at the point of policy acceptance.

Actuaries

Location-specific hazard scores enriched with SSP2 and SSP5 projections for 2030, 2050, and 2100. Supports forward-looking loss modelling and Solvency II climate stress tests.

Client names shared with permission. Additional reference clients available on request under NDA.

Where We Are —
Where We're Going

UrClimate Score is a live, production product with a clear development path toward full financial quantification and pan-European coverage.

Live Now
2021–2025
Location-Based Hazard Scoring
  • 1–100 composite score per hazard, delivered via REST API
  • Full Turkey coverage at 25-metre spatial resolution
  • 10 hazard categories: flood, storm, earthquake, hail, drought, snow, lightning, landslide, precipitation, frost
  • SSP2–RCP4.5 and SSP5–RCP8.5 projections for 2030, 2040, 2050, 2100
  • Regional heatmaps and temporal change reports for risk engineering teams
  • GEV extreme-value analysis (historical hindcast phase)
  • In daily use: underwriting, actuarial modelling, risk engineering
Coming 2027
2027
Financial Quantification & European Expansion
  • Tail risk quantification — loss exceedance curves per hazard, per asset
  • Coverage-value financialisation: expected loss as % of sum insured
  • Second perils focus — hail, wildfire, convective storm, precipitation-induced flood
  • Full Europe at default 4 km model resolution across all countries
  • Portfolio-level AAL (Average Annual Loss) and EAL outputs
  • TCFD / IFRS S2 aligned financial disclosure modules

Who Uses
UrClimate Score

Designed for risk professionals who need asset-level precision — not portfolio-level approximations.

Insurance & Reinsurance

Price individual risks accurately, tighten underwriting appetites, and quantify portfolio-level CAT exposure under future climate scenarios.

  • Flood and storm underwriting at street level
  • Portfolio heat mapping for nat-cat accumulations
  • ORSA and Solvency II climate integration
  • IAIS sustainable insurance framework alignment

Banks & Lenders

Embed climate risk into credit underwriting, assess mortgage portfolio exposure, and produce TCFD-aligned transition and physical risk disclosures.

  • Loan-level physical risk for mortgage books
  • Real estate collateral assessment
  • EBA climate risk guideline compliance
  • IFRS S1 / S2 quantitative disclosures

Asset Managers & Investors

Score real estate, infrastructure, and renewable energy portfolios for physical risk. Support ESG reporting and climate due diligence for acquisitions.

  • Asset due diligence for acquisitions
  • SFDR Article 8 & 9 climate data
  • EU Taxonomy environmental objectives
  • Renewable energy site climate risk
Get Started

Ready to Score Your Portfolio?

Request a demo, run a sample query on your own assets, or discuss integration with our team. We typically respond within 24 hours.

Orion House, 665 Bessemer Road, Welwyn Garden City AL7 1HH, UK
alkazar.com.tr — Full services & Istanbul office